Category: World Series
3 reasons why: Blue Jays will win the World Series
As the 2016 season approaches, I will be taking a look at the 10 teams with the best odds of winning the World Series and examining three reasons why each team may ultimately hoist the trophy. Today’s team:
Blue Jays (16/1 odds to win World Series):
The 2015 Blue Jays made the playoffs for the first time since 1993, which was certainly a step in the right direction. But what can the team do to take that one step further? Toronto won’t have David Price anchoring the rotation in 2016, but the club does return Josh Donaldson, the reigning American League MVP, and will have the benefit of Troy Tulowitzki for an entire season. The Blue Jays didn’t have a splashy off-season and although a lot of people are picking the Red Sox in the AL East, Toronto can’t be ignored.
Last year: After winning 93 games and reaching the ALCS in 2015, the Blue Jays, per FanGraphs, are projected to win 84 games in 2016. Of course, that’s just a projection and the true number will be determined on the field. The Blue Jays were one of the surprise stories in baseball last season and if the team can continue that momentum, 2016 may be just as special. Experience is the best teacher and the Blue Jays learned a lot last season. Not only did the club learn what it’s like to play meaningful games late in the season, but it also learned about playoff baseball. The Blue Jays won the ALDS, learning how to win a playoff series, and lost in the ALCS, meaning the team left the 2015 campaign with a bitter taste in its mouth. If the Blue Jays remember how it felt to end the season on a loss and turn that feeling into motivation, 2016 has a chance to be special.
Offense: The Blue Jays led the league in runs with 891 last season and were second in team batting average (.269). Yes, playing in the Rogers Centre helps, but either way, the Blue Jays can hit. From Donaldson to Tulowitzki to Jose Bautista to Edwin Encarnacion, Toronto’s lineup is loaded. The 2016 club may not be as potent as the 2015 version simply because it’s hard to lead the league in hitting every year, but this year’s team won’t be in the bottom half of the league either. Toronto may not have the most feared pitching staff in the game, but with the offensive firepower they possess, it may not matter.
Left side of infield: The left side of the Blue Jays’ infield combined for 58 homers and 193 RBIs last season. Of course Tulowitzki wasn’t in Toronto for the entire season and the shortstop is always a bit of an injury risk, but when he’s healthy he’s among the best offensive shortstops in the game. If Donaldson and Tulowitzki are both healthy for the bulk of the season, the Blue Jays will be in good shape.
3 reasons why: Nationals will win World Series
As the 2016 season approaches, I will be taking a look at the 10 teams with the best odds of winning the World Series and examining three reasons why each team may ultimately hoist the trophy. Today’s team:
Nationals (14/1 odds to win World Series): Perhaps Dusty Baker is the answer. The Nationals were the clear favorite to win the National League a season ago, but that prediction never quite worked out. While people aren’t as high on the Nationals as they were a season ago, it’s not as if everyone is counting them out either.
Bryce Harper: Part of the reason you totally bet against the Nationals is because of their 23-year old superstar right fielder. Bryce Harper, the reigning National League MVP, is coming off a career year. Harper hit .330 with 42 homers and 99 RBIs in 2015 and although those numbers were all careers highs, Harper has the talent to do it again. Harper’s fantastic season didn’t help the Nationals reach their goals as a team last season, but if he gets more help from his supporting cast, the 2016 season may be different.
Rotation: While Harper leads the offense, Max Scherzer ans Stephen Strasburg anchor the rotation. In 2015 Scherzer (14-12, 2.79 ERA) proved he was a threat to throw a perfect game every fifth day, while Strasburg and his 95 MPH fastball blew hitters away. Gio Gonzalez’s ERA has risen each of the last three seasons, but the left-hander is still a quality arm capable of carving up an opposing lineup.
Easy path? NL East, two team race: Once again the Nationals are the favorites to win the NL East, but that didn’t work out so well last season. Per FanGraphs, the Nationals are projected to win 90 games, three more than the second-place Mets. The Marlins, at 81 wins, are expected to finish third. Crazier things have happened, but the NL East looks to be a two team and if the Nationals can beat up on the Marlins, Phillies and Braves – winning the games they are supposed to win – they can be in contention late in the season with a chance to get back to the postseason.
3 reasons why: Royals will win the World Series
As the 2016 season approaches, I will be taking a look at the 10 teams with the best odds of winning the World Series and examining three reasons why each team may ultimately hoist the trophy. Today’s team:
Royals (16/1 odds to win World Series): Reaching the World Series in three consecutive seasons is hard, but not impossible. A team has reached the World Series in three or more straight seasons 18 times (the 1988-’90 A’s being the most recent) throughout the history of Major League Baseball. If the Royals are able to win another American League pennant, they will certainly be worthy of the dynasty talk that will accompany their run. Of course, for the Royals to reach another World Series, a lot has to go right. But the good news is the Royals also have a lot of factors working in their favor.
Why not?: The Royals are clearly the team to beat in the AL. Kansas City has won 184 regular seasons games (an average of 92 per year) over the past two seasons, so it’s not as if their success has been a fluke. As stated above, reaching another World Series will be tough, but the Royals are the defending champions and until that changes, they deserve to be mentioned in any postseason discussion.
Lack of roster turnover: Resigning Alex Gordon was huge. Sometimes when a team wins a title, they have a lot of questions to answer in free agency as players want to get paid and therefore leave for greener pastures. However, this was not the case with the Royals. Kansas City is bringing back the bulk of its team as it looks for another ring. While this is obviously important for the simple fact that this group won together last year and is capable of winning again, it is also significant because several of the Royals starters are homegrown. The Royals have a very tight-knit group because their players have been together from their time in the Minor Leagues. Kansas City has a clubhouse chemistry that’s not easy to match and it’s a direct result of all the homegrown talent.
Bullpen: The bullpen has played a huge role in the Royals success over the past two seasons and it likely will be a factor in 2016 as well. Many teams have recently tried to imitate the Royals ‘pen – by stockpiling flamethrowers for the late innings – but even if the approach is more common now than it was a couple years ago, that doesn’t make it any less effective. The Royals’ relievers posted a 3.30 ERA in 2014 (10th-best in baseball) and a 2.72 ERA (second best in baseball) in 2015. The AL Central has improved in 2016, but if the back end of the Royals’ ‘pen is just as dominant as it has been, the Royals will be in good shape once again.
3 reasons why: Mets will win the World Series
As the 2016 season approaches, I will be taking a look at the 10 teams with the best odds of winning the World Series and examining three reasons why each team may ultimately hoist the trophy. Today’s team:
Mets (8/1 odds to win World Series): The Mets, per FanGraphs, are projected to finish two games behind the Nationals in the National League East. But, of course, the Nationals were supposed to run away with the division in 2015 and the Mets won it by seven games. The Mets then relied on a dominant pitching staff to win the NL Pennant. In the process, Mets proved they have what it takes to reach the World Series, now they just have to win it.
Pitching: Jacob deGrom, Noah Syndergaard, Matt Harvey, Steven Matz and Bartolo Colon. The Mets’ rotation was a huge reason why the team fared so well in 2015 and everyone is coming back, plus the team is expected to add Zack Wheeler – who posted a 3.54 ERA and struck out 187 batters in 185 1/3 innings in 2014, but then had Tommy John surgery – at some point too. DeGrom (2.88 postseason ERA), Syndergaard (3.32 postseason ERA), Harvey (3.04 postseason ERA) and Matz (3.68 postseason ERA) all pitched well under pressure last season and that experience can only help them moving forward.
Experience: Regular season baseball and postseason baseball are completely different and just because a player or team is successful for the first six months of the season doesn’t mean they will thrive under the bright lights of October. However, the Mets proved that they can win in the postseason. The playoffs are all about pitching and clutch hitting and the team was able to do both of those things last season. There is no substitute for experience and everything the Mets went through in 2015, should be to their benefit in 2016.
Off-season acquisitions: The Mets biggest off-season acquisition was resigning Yoenis Cespedes. However, the club also made some improvments up the middle, adding Asdrubal Cabrera and Neil Walker. Cespedes obviously helped the Mets get into the playoffs with a torrid second half. The 30-year old outfielder hit .287 with 17 homers and 44 RBIs in his 57 games with the Mets. Walker has spent the first seven seasons of his career with the Pirates and proven to be a very capable second baseman. Walker hit .269 last season and has a .989 fielding percentage. Cabrera hit .265 with the Rays last season, hit best batting agerage since hitting .270 in 2012.
3 reasons why: Astros will win the World Series
As the 2016 season approaches, I will be taking a look at the 10 teams with the best odds of winning the World Series and examining three reasons why each team may ultimately hoist the trophy. Today’s team:
Astros (18/1 odds to win World Series): Two years ago George Springer was featured on the cover of Sports Illustrated with a headline that said, “Your 2017 World Series Champs.” The Astros are certainly capable of winning the World Series in 2017, but they’ll be capable of winning it all in 2016 as well. Houston utilized a wealth of young talent in 2015 to register a winning season for the first time since 2008 and reach the playoffs for the first time since 2005. In 2016, the team looks poised to take another step forward.
Young roster: No team wants to string together six straight losing seasons the way the Astros did from 2009-14, but the team made the most of the situation by acquiring plenty of young talent. Most notably, the Astros selected Carlos Correa with the No. 1 overall pick in the 2012 Draft. But the team also selected George Springer and Lance McCullers in 2012. Not to mention, they hit the jackpot selecting Dallas Keuchel in the seventh round of the 2009 Draft.
2015 carryover: The Astros struggled a bit down the stretch, going 37-34 in the second half and 11-16 in September. However, playing meaningful baseball late in the season wasn’t something the Astros were used to. But having gone through that in 2015, the club will be better equipped to handle the late-season grind in 2016. Learning how to win a championship is a process and the Astros took a big step last season.
Correa, Altuve, Gomez: Strong teams are built up the middle and it’s hard to get much better up the middle than the Astros. Carlos Correa, Jose Altuve and Carlos Gomez make up a pretty good trio and should provide Houston with plenty of highlight reel plays in 2016. Correa, the reigning American League Rookie of the Year Award winner, proved that he’s ready to handle life in the Majors. Over 99 games, the 21-year old hit. 279 with 22 homers and 68 RBIs. Altuve has been an All-Star three of the last four seasons and has 200 or more hits in each of the last two seasons. Gomez struggled a bit once he was traded, but that could simply be a sign of pressing to try and impress his new team. Gomez will enter 2016 acclimated with Houston, and playing in a hitter-friendly park may help him return to being an All-Star caliber player. Throw Gold Glove Award winner Dallas Keuchel in the mix every fifth day as well and it sure looks like a winning formula.
Best players that haven’t made it to the World Series
I was recently listening to the radio and the hosts were discussing some of the top NFL players that had never played in a Super Bowl. The conversation sparked my interest and made me think about some of the best baseball players that have yet to appear in a World Series and here’s what I came up with:
(Although the list just comprised of active players, I tried to stay away from rookies or players that are still young. Ex: Carlos Correa is the best active shortstop to never reach the World Series, but since he’s only played in 105 games, I opted for a veteran at shortstop.)
C Russell Martin – Over the course of his 10-year career, Martin has been to the postseason six times, but has yet to make it to the World Series. The three-time All-Star has been to Championship Series four times – twice in the AL and twice in the NL – most recently, with the Blue Jays in 2015.
1B Paul Goldschmidt – Goldschmidt may be the best first baseman in all of baseball, but he has just one postseason berth to show for it. The 28-year old has been an All-Star each of the past three seasons and is the heart of a line-up that finished second in the National League in runs last season. Likely to Goldschmidt’s pleasure, the D-backs made some big moves in the off-season, acquiring Zack Greinke and Shelby Miller. Perhaps that revamped rotation can get the D-backs back into the playoffs and give Goldschmidt another run at a ring.
2B Dee Gordon – Gordon has been an All-Star each of the past two seasons and was handsomly rewarded with a five-year $50 million contract earlier this month. The speedster played in October in 2013 and ’14, but the Dodgers fell short of the World Series each season.
SS Jose Reyes – Over 13 years, Reyes has been to four All-Star games, won a Silver Slugger Award, led the league in stolen bases three times and is a career .290 hitter. The 32-year old shortstop has an impressive resume on the field, but has only been to October once and missed a chance to play in the World Series by one game. The 2006 Mets lost the NLCS in seven games.
3B Todd Frazier – Frazier has been to the postseason twice, but the Reds fell short in 2012 and 2013. Although Frazier was a big favorite among the Cincinnati fanbase, the fact he was traded from the rebuilding Reds (and out of the incredibly difficult NL Central) to the White Sox certainly helps his odds to get back to the playoffs.
OF Ichiro – A 15-year veteran, 10 time All-Star and soon to be member of the 3,000 hit club. However, despite all the individual success, Ichiro has never been presented with the opportunity to play for the ultimate prize. Ichiro’s teams have made it to the playoffs just twice during his career and both times the Mariners lost in the ALCS.
OF Mike Trout – Trout is just 24 years old and probably too young to be included on this list, but a trip to the World Series is seemingly the only box unchecked on his resume. Trout has already set plenty of records and won a plethora of awards, but his playoff experience consists of just three games in 2014.
OF Jose Bautista – The 12-year veteran got his first taste of October baseball in 2015 and certainly did all he could to will the Blue Jays to a title. Bautista hit .293 with four homers and 11 RBIs in 11 games, but Toronto lost in the ALCS to the eventual champion Kansas City Royals.
OF Andrew McCutchen – The five-time All-Star has been at the heart of Pittsburgh’s recent resurgence and although the Pirates have fallen short in recent seasons, three straight playoff berths are definitely a sign things are moving in the right direction. The goal, of course, is to win, not just be close, but McCutchen does find himself in a favorable position here.
Honorable Mentions – Matt Wieters, Anthony Rizzo, Joe Mauer
P Clayton Kershaw – With a 4.59 postseason ERA, Kershaw has certainly disappointed in his 13 postseason games, but nevertheless he’s the top pitcher in the game and has yet to make it to the World Series. Kershaw has played in the NLCS twice (2008 and 2013).
P Zack Greinke – The 12-year veteran has made four trips to the postseason and has pitched fairly well, but hasn’t been able to get to the World Series. However, Greinke joined forces with Goldschmidt this year and perhaps the D-backs potent offense can help get the right-hander off this list.
P Felix Hernandez – Hernandez has won an AL Cy Young Award and been an All-Star six times, but has yet to pitch in the postseason. Despite all Hernandez’s talents, the Mariners have been unable to surround him with enough help to ever reach the playoffs, much less the World Series.
RP Huston Street – Across 11 seasons, Street has been to the playoffs three times, with three different teams. But, all three of those teams fell short. Street’s best shot came in 2006, when the A’s lost to the Tigers in the ALCS.
RP Craig Kimbrel – Kimbrel has been an All-Star in four of his six Major League seasons, but has never been past the NLDS. The right-hander has a career 1.35 postseason ERA in six appearances.
Honorable mentions – Jake Arrieta, Chris Sale, Kenley Jansen, Aroldis Chapman
3 reasons why: St. Louis Cardinals will win World Series
As the 2016 season approaches, I will be taking a look at the 10 teams with the best odds of winning the World Series and examining three reasons why each team may ultimately hoist the trophy. Today’s team:
Cardinals (20/1 odds to win World Series): The Cardinals won 100 games in 2015 and are always in the postseason mix. The Cardinals lost Jason Heyward and John Lackey in free agency and are only projected to win 83 games next seasons – in part because the National League Central is so competitive – but it’s crazy to ever count the Cardinals out.
Adam Wainwright healthy: Any team would be thrilled to add a free agent starter that – has had a sub-3.00 ERA and more than 200 innings in four of the last five seasons and that’s essentially what the Cardinals are doing with Adam Wainwright. While he wasn’t a free agent, the Cardinals are adding him to the mix as he pitched in just four game in 2015 and missed the rest of the season with a torn Achilles. The Cardinals lost John Lackey via free agency, but the return of Wainwright and the addition of Mike Leake have the rotation in good shape.
Experience: The Cardinals have won the NL Central each of the past three seasons and have reached the playoffs in each of the last five years. While the NL Central has certainly gotten tougher over the past couple seasons, the Cardinals know what they are doing and what needs to be done to get to October. Both the Cubs and Pirates are projected to finish ahead of St. Louis, but I’d be pretty nervous to ever bet against the Cardinals.
Management: Mike Matheny has led his team to the playoffs in every season since he took over (2012). Part of that is because of the talented roster and veteran leadership in the Cardinals clubhouse, but Matheny’s role can not be overlooked. GM John Mozeliak has also been very successful. During his tenure the Cardinals have won two NL Pennants, one World Series and made the playoffs several times. Led by Alex Reyes, the Cardinals also have a strong Minor League system. All in all, the Cardinals are in great shape from the top down. There’s a reason why there are regarded as one of the top franchises in baseball and it is those same reasons that keep them in the pennant race each and every year.
3 reasons why: Dodgers will win the World Series
As the 2016 season approaches, I will be taking a look at the 10 teams with the best odds of winning the World Series and examining three reasons why each team may ultimately hoist the trophy. Today’s team:
Dodgers (14/1 odds to win World Series): The Dodgers have won the National League West each of the past three seasons. It’s not getting to the playoffs that’s the problem – it’s winning once October comes around. The Dodgers did not have the best off-season and fans in Los Angeles are certainly frustrated, but all hope is not lost. The club didn’t make big splashes – the type of moves fans loves, even though they don’t always work out – but the Dodgers are still very solid and a projection of 91 wins, per FanGraphs, is nothing to scoff at.
Clayton Kershaw: Clayton Kershaw’s postseason struggles have been well documented, but in the regular season, there is no one better. Over the last five seasons, Kershaw has thrown 198 or more innings with an ERA of 2.53 or better. Of course, Kershaw is probably the only part of the rotation Dodgers fans aren’t worried about. The loss of Zack Greinke hurts, but if everyone stays fairly healthy, the Dodgers should have enough pitching to be playing meaningful games late in the season.
Young talent up the middle: After hitting .337 in 27 games for the Dodgers last season, 21-year old Corey Seager was recently named the top prospect in all of baseball. Although it’s unlikely he hits that well again, he’s certainly proven that he belongs in the Major Leagues. Seager has immense talent and a full season of him in the lineup could do wonders to the Dodgers offense. Of course, Seager isn’t alone. Joc Pederson exploded in the first half last season before struggling in the second half. The 23-year old hit .230 with 20 homers prior to the All-Star break, then hit just .178 with six blasts in the second half. However growing pains are part of the process and likely taught Pederson a bit about what it takes to persevere through a grueling 162-game schedule. With the youth of Seager and Pederson, couple with the veteran leadership of Chase Utley and Howie Kendrick, the middle of the Dodgers defense is in pretty good shape.
Veteran leadership: Players like Seager and Pederson can provide youthful energy, but veteran leadership is important to any postseason run. Chase Utley knows what it takes to win a ring and both Carl Crawford and Adrian Gonzalez have plenty of experience as well. Resigning Howie Kendrick was also a big move for this category as Kendrick will undoubtedly help out the clubhouse.
3 reasons why: Red Sox will win the World Series
As the 2016 season approaches, I will be taking a look at the 10 teams with the best odds of winning the World Series and examining three reasons why each team may ultimately hoist the trophy. Today’s team:
Red Sox (12/1 odds to win World Series): The Red Sox haven’t reached the postseason since they won the World Series in 2013. They are coming off a year in which they won 78 games and finished 15 games back in the AL East, but despite all that, there’s plenty of excitement in Boston.
David Price: David Price’s postseason resume (1-2, 5.12 ERA) leaves a lot to be desired, but he’s still an elite pitcher. Price went 18-5 with a 2.45 ERA in 2015 and tallied 220 1/3 innings. The 30-year old left-hander has logged more than 200 innings in five of the last six seasons and is projected (3.09 ERA, 195 innings, 1.128 WHIP) for another big year in 2016. The deal also allows Price to pitch in Fenway Park, a place he has been comfortable throughout his career, as evidenced by his 1.95 ERA across 11 starts.
Dave Dombrowski: Boston biggest move to prep for 2016 may have occurred late in the 2015 season. In August, the Red Sox hired Dave Dombrowski to be the President of Baseball Operations – a move that is already paying off. Not only did Dombrowski go out acquire a frontline starter in Price, but he also acquired an elite closer in Craig Kimbrel.
Outfield: Mookie Betts, Jackie Bradley Jr. and Rusney Castillo certainly make for an outfield with tons of potential. Betts had a bit of a coming out party in 2015 – hitting .291with 77 RBIs and 21 stolen bases – and if he can produce similar numbers in 2016, the Red Sox will be in good shape. Bradley Jr. and Castillo have yet to produce over the entirety of a complete season, but the tools are there and if everything comes together, it could go a long way toward Boston’s success.
Bonus: David Ortiz has already announced that the 2016 season will be his last. What better way for the 19-year veteran to go out than with one more parade?
3 reasons why: San Francisco Giants will win the World Series
As the 2016 season approaches, I will be taking a look at the 10 teams with the best odds of winning the World Series and examining three reasons why each team may ultimately hoist the trophy. Today’s team:
Giants (+750 odds to win World Series): 2010, 2012, 2014, 2016? Simple math dictates the Giants will win the World Series this year. But in case it’s not that easy (and of course it won’t be), here’s some additional reasons why the Giants may be making another deep October run:
History of bouncing back: The 2015 Giants won just 84 games and finished eight games out in the National League West, but history suggests that may be a reason for optimism. Of course the Giants and their fans – as well as every other fanbase – would prefer their team never have a down year, but that’s obviously not the case. However, when the Giants have had a down year recently, they’ve done a good job of making sure it’s just one year and nothing more. San Francisco won 86 games in 2011, then won 94 games and a World Series in 2012. In 2013, the team won just 76 games, but in 2014 a World Series parade followed an 88 win campaign.
Revamped rotation: Madison Bumgarner, who went 18-9 with a 2.93 ERA a season ago, is still the ace of the staff, but his supporting cast is vastly improved with free agent acquisitions Jeff Samardzija and Johnny Cueto. The additions of Cueto (4.76 ERA in second half) and Samardzija (his 4.96 ERA was the highest in his career since he became a full-time starter) certainly come with question marks, but if the two are able to get back on track – making half of their starts in AT&T Park will help – then it’s hard to discount the Giants’ rotation.
Postseason experience: Once you get into the playoffs, anything can happen. Perhaps there’s no team that better exemplifies this than the Giants. The 2014 Giants won it all after sneaking into the playoffs as a Wild Card. The 2012 club trailed 2-0 in the NLDS and 3-1 in the NLCS. While that’s probably not the best way to navigate the postseason waters, the Giants have shown anything can happen in October. If the 2016 club is able to get into the playoffs – either by winning the NL West or as a Wild Card – they’ve already proven they’re capable of getting hot at just the right time.