3 reasons why: San Francisco Giants will win the World Series

As the 2016 season approaches, I will be taking a look at the 10 teams with the best odds of winning the World Series and examining three reasons why each team may ultimately hoist the trophy. Today’s team:

Giants (+750 odds to win World Series): 2010, 2012, 2014, 2016? Simple math dictates the Giants will win the World Series this year. But in case it’s not that easy (and of course it won’t be), here’s some additional reasons why the Giants may be making another deep October run:

History of bouncing back: The 2015 Giants won just 84 games and finished eight games out in the National League West, but history suggests that may be a reason for optimism. Of course the Giants and their fans – as well as every other fanbase – would prefer their team never have a down year, but that’s obviously not the case. However, when the Giants have had a down year recently, they’ve done a good job of making sure it’s just one year and nothing more. San Francisco won 86 games in 2011, then won 94 games and a World Series in 2012. In 2013, the team won just 76 games, but in 2014 a World Series parade followed an 88 win campaign.

Revamped rotation: Madison Bumgarner, who went 18-9 with a 2.93 ERA a season ago, is still the ace of the staff, but his supporting cast is vastly improved with free agent acquisitions Jeff Samardzija and Johnny Cueto. The additions of Cueto (4.76 ERA in second half) and Samardzija (his 4.96 ERA was the highest in his career since he became a full-time starter) certainly come with question marks, but if the two are able to get back on track – making half of their starts in AT&T Park will help – then it’s hard to discount the Giants’ rotation.

Postseason experience: Once you get into the playoffs, anything can happen. Perhaps there’s no team that better exemplifies this than the Giants. The 2014 Giants won it all after sneaking into the playoffs as a Wild Card. The 2012 club trailed 2-0 in the NLDS and 3-1 in the NLCS. While that’s probably not the best way to navigate the postseason waters, the Giants have shown anything can happen in October. If the 2016 club is able to get into the playoffs – either by winning the NL West or as a Wild Card – they’ve already proven they’re capable of getting hot at just the right time.

3 comments

  1. BaseballRPM's avatar
    BaseballRPM

    Do you think the new additions to the pitching staff will hold up year round? Shark has looked very shaky for over a year now. And that rotation in the playoffs wouldn’t be anything to fear.

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    • willboor's avatar
      willboor

      I do think the staff could hold up, but of course health is big factor when for any team. As for Samardzija, pitching in AT&T Park, a pitchers’ park, will certainly help. I also think the move to the NL can help him and never rule out the impact a simple change of scenery can have. Will the playoff rotation be anything to fear? As of now, I agree it doesn’t look imposing on paper, but if the Giants make the playoffs, they got there for a reasons — whether it’s the rotation, bullpen or the offense — and that same reason could carry the team to another title.

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