Category: Detroit Tigers

AFL 10.14.15 Salt River at Scottsdale

Notable Performances:

— Tigers No. 10 prospect SS JaCoby Jones hit a three-run homer in the first and a solo shot in the third. Jones was really impressive at the plate Wednesday night. You can read more about him in my article on MLBpipeline.com.

— Indians No. 2 prospect Clint Frazier went opposite field with a two-run homer in the first. Frazier hit 16 homers this season and has plenty of power.

— Twins No. 13 prospect Taylor Rogers had a nice night on the mound. The left-hander made one mistake – which Guerrero hammered for a homer – but was otherwise in complete control.

Rogers allowed one run on two hits in four innings of work. He also struck out five.

 Best Play:

— Indians prospect Todd Hankins made a nice play at second base as he leapt and snared a screaming liner in the second. Off the bat it looked like an easy hit on a hit-and-run, but instead it turned into a highlight reel double play.

— Not to be outdone, Sam Travis also made a nice play on a liner just past the bag at first. The ball appeared to be by Travis for a double into the right-field corner, but he was able to snag it at the last minute for the out.

Best At-Bat:

— Scottsdale scored 13 runs on 16 hits, so I’ll leave this category open for their entire lineup.

Worth Mentioning:

— Boston’s No. 11 prospect Sam Travis drove in the first run of the game with an RBI double down the left field line in the first. However, the second round pick from a year ago didn’t do much in his other at-bats and finished 2-for-6.

— D-backs prospect Gabby Guerrero, nephew of former MLB All-Star Vladimir Guerrero, reminded everyone of his uncle with a big home run to left-center. Gabby hit just seven home runs during the regular season, but hit 18 in 2014 so seeing him flash some power is not a complete surprise.

Trade Deadline Revisited

As soon as the July 31 Trade Deadline was completed, the A’s and Tigers appeared to be the big winners.

The Athletics had acquired Jeff Samardzija and Jason Hammel a bit before the Trade Deadline and then acquired Jon Lester in a blockbuster move while the Tigers landed David Price.

As it turned out, those teams went a combined 0-4 in the postseason and the real prize of the Deadline may have been a 31-year old pitcher from Mobile, Alabama.

The San Francisco Giants acquired Jake Peavy, for a couple of pitching prospects, a few days before the Trade Deadline. Peavy went 8-4 with a 2.17 ERA in 12 starts for the National League champions to finish the regular season and is 1-0 with a 1.86 ERA in two postseason starts.

Now it remains to be seen whether or not the Giants will resign Peavy next season, but after winning the National League pennant and reaching a third World Series in the past five years, it’s hard to argue the move wasn’t a success for the Giants.

In addition to the Peavy trade, plenty of other teams were active at the Trade Deadline. Here’s a quick rundown on how everyone performed with their new teams:

A’s acquired Jeff Samardzija and Jason Hammel: In 16 starts with the Athletics, Samardzija went 8-8 with a 3.14 ERA. Hammel went 2-6 with a 4.26 ERA in 12 starts.

Cubs acquire Addison Russell, Billy McKinney and Dan Straily: Russell, the No. 5 prospect according to MLBpipeline.com, was the prize of this trade for the Cubs and he hit .294 in 50 games with the Cubs AA affiliate.

The Athletics acquired Jon Lester, Jonny Gomes and cash from the Red Sox for Yoenis Cespedes: Lester went 6-4 with a 2.35 ERA in 11 starts, but was also on the mound when the A’s collapse began in the AL Wild Card game. Gomes played in 34 games for the A’s and hit .234 Cespedes hit .269 with five homers and 33 RBI for Boston.

Then, the A’s traded Tommy Milone to the Twins in exchange for Sam Fuld:

Milone appeared in six games, five starts, for the Twins while Fuld played in 53 games and hit .210 for Oakland.

The Cardinals acquired John Lackey from the Red Sox for Joe Kelly and Allen Craig: Lackey went 3-3 with a 4.30 ERA in 10 starts for the Cardinals while Kelly went 4-2 with a 4.11 ERA in 10 starts for Boston and Craig hit .128 in 29 games.

The Brewers traded a pair of minor leaguers (outfielder Mitch Haniger and pitcher Anthony Banda) to the Diamondbacks for Gerardo Parra: Parra hit .268 in 46 games for Milwaukee.

The Padres continued selling and traded Chris Denorfia to the Mariners for Abraham Almonte and minor league pitcher Stephen Kohlscheen: Denorfia hit .195 in 32 games with the Mariners.

A day after trading Justin Masterson to the Cardinals, the Indians traded Asdrubal Cabrera to the Nationals for Zach Walters: Masterson was a disappointment with the Cardinals as he went 3-3 in nine games, six starts, with a 7.04 ERA. Cabrera hit .229 in 49 games with the Nationals and Walters hit .130 in 70 games for the Indians.

The Red Sox traded Andrew Miller to the Orioles for minor league pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez: Miller appeared in 23 games for the Orioles and posted a 1.35 ERA.

Boston was very active at the deadline and concluded its day after trading Stephen Drew to the Yankees for Kelly Johnson: Drew hit .150 in 46 games with the Yankees.

In addition to Drew, the Yankees acquired Martin Prado. In order to get Prado, the Yankees sent Peter O’Brien and either cash or a player to be named later to the Diamondbacks: Prado hit .316 in 37 games as a Yankee.

The Braves acquired Emilio Bonifacio, James Russell and cash from the Cubs in exchange for minor league catcher Victor Caratini: Bonifacio appeared in 41 games for the Braves and hit .212, while Russell posted a 2.22 ERA in 22 appearances with Atlanta.

The Marlins sent outfielder Jake Marisnick to the Astros in return for Jarred Cosart and Kike Hernandez: Marisnick hit .272 in 51 games with his new team and Cosart went 4-4 with a 2.39 ERA in 10 starts with his new club.

The Tigers acquired David Price, the Mariners picked up Austin Jackson and the Rays received Drew Smyly and Nick Franklin: Price went 4-4 with a 3.59 ERA in 11 starts for the Tigers while Austin Jackson hit .229 in 54 games with the Mariners. He also stole 11 bases. In Tampa Bay, Smyly went 3-1 in seven starts and posted a 1.70 ERA and Franklin hit .206 in 11 games.

Obviously these stats do not tell the whole story of who won or lost a trade or whether it was even for both teams as contract situations, cash, prospects and plenty of other factors are up for consideration, but in the break between the championship series and the World Series, it is interesting to look back and see how all those Deadline deals stacked up.

Magic Numbers, World Series Favorites, MVP Odds And More

From your basic statistics such as batting average and ERA to more advanced sabermetrics like UZR and BABIP, baseball is a sport littered with numbers.

Baseball fans typically like numbers, so here are some numbers to keep your eyes on for the remainder of the season:

Playoff Clinch Scenarios:

*The Angels can clinch a playoff berth September 10th, the earliest of any team in the Majors.

*The Orioles and Nationals could clinch their divisions (AL and NL East) on September 12th, the earliest of any team.

Magic Numbers To Win Division:

*Orioles magic number is 19

*Royals magic number is 26 (25 to clinch playoff berth)

*Angels magic number is 22 (17 to clinch playoff berth)

*Nationals magic number is 19

*Cardinals magic number is 25 (23 to clinch playoff berth)

*Dodgers magic number is 23 (20 to clinch playoff berth)

Wild Cards:

*A’s magic number to clinch a playoff berth is 21 (22 for the first Wild Card spot)

*Tigers magic number is 25 to clinch a playoff berth

*Giants magic number is 22 to clinch a playoff berth and 24 to host the Wild Card game.

*The Brewers magic number is 24.

Pennant Odds: According to Bovada Sportsbook (http://sports.bovada.lv/)

AL

*Angels – 5/2

*A’s – 7/2

*Orioles and Tigers – 4/1

*Royals – 7/1

*Mariners – 12/1

NL

*Dodgers – 2/1

*Nationals – 5/2

*Cardinals – 5/1

*Brewers and Giants – 7/1

*Braves – 14/1

World Series Odds:

*Angels – 5/1

*Dodgers – 11/2

*Nationals – 6/1

*Orioles and A’s – 7/1

*Tigers – 8/1

AL Cy Young:

*Felix Hernandez -300

*Chris Sale +300

*Max Scherzer +500

AL MVP:

*Mike Trout -200

*Robinson Cano +500

*Jose Abreu +550

NL MVP:

*Clayton Kershaw -150

*Giancarlo Stanton +120

*Andrew McCutchen +1000

There are no odds listed for the NL Cy Young award which is one way of saying congratulations to Clayton Kershaw.

Five American League Storylines To Watch

With roughly six weeks left in the baseball season, playoff chases are heating up and every call, game and managerial decision of contending teams will be under intense pressure and scrutiny.

As the games seemingly get more important, some teams in the hunt are going to need players to step up while other are going to look at their leaders and simply hope they continue to do what they’ve done all season long.

Here’s a quick look at five American League players and trends to watch as the season winds down. (Note: This list is in no particular order and a National List will be compiled this weekend as well)

Hisashi Iwakuma:

The Mariners enter play Friday a half game out of the Wild Card, but according to Baseball Prospectus, Seattle has a 50.6 percent chance of making the postseason. Everyone knows Felix Hernandez is the ace of the staff and all indications suggest Hernandez will finish the season strong and pitch like the player everyone knows he is.

However, the AL Wild Card race is likely going to come down to the very end and if the Mariners need Hernandez to win a game in the final week of play, Iwakuma may be pitching in a single elimination Wild Card contest.

Iwakuma is 11-6 with a 2.72 ERA this season and is 6-2 with a 1.83 ERA over his past nine starts.

The 33-year old right hander may not get the recognition of King Felix, but if the Mariners are able to get into October, Iwakuma will have played a major role.

Garrett Richards:

With each passing day, it’s looking more and more likely the Angels will be in the postseason for the first time since 2009. Baseball Prospectus calculates the Angels as having a 98.9 percent chance of playing in October. However, the real question is whether they will win the AL West and play in a best-of-five series, or clinch a Wild Card berth and play in a win or go home game against the other Wild Card winner.

The Angels begin play Friday two games back in the AL West and five games up in the Wild Card.

A large part of the Angels success this season can be attributed to the breakout season of Garrett Richards, who is 12-4 with a 2.54 ERA this season. Although Richards has been great all season, he enters Friday’s start having thrown 159 2/3 innings – the most in his professional career, including the minors.

Richards threw 145 innings in 2013 and exceeded the 140 inning mark twice in the minors (2010 and 2011) but as the season wears on, his work load is something to look at.

The 26-year old has a 2.48 ERA in five starts since the All-Star break so he has not shown any signs of slowing down, but as the innings continue to mount – and the pressure associated with each inning rises – it will be important for the Angels to keep an eye on arguably the most important member of their rotation.

A’s Offense:

Odds are the Oakland Athletics are going to play in October for the third consecutive season, but if their offense doesn’t get going, their postseason may be brief – for the third consecutive season.

Pitching wins in October and Billy Beane has made sure the Athletics rotation will be formidable come the playoffs, but offense is still a big part of the game and right now the A’s don’t have a very good one, at least not consistently.

Since the A’s traded their power hitting left fielder, Yoenis Cespedes, to the Boston Red Sox, they have gone 7-7 and averaged just 3.8 runs per game. When Cespedes was on the Oakland roster, they had averaged five runs per game.

But, by no means is it time to panic for fans of the green and gold.

Jon Lester has been as advertised, going 3-0 with a 2.49 ERA since the trade and the A’s still have the best record in baseball.

There is time to get the offense rolling again, but if the A’s struggle to score for the rest of the season and exit the postseason in the first round again, many will blame the Cespedes trade.

Justin Verlander:

With David Price, Max Scherzer and Rick Porcello, the Tigers rotation is among the best in the game, but something just hasn’t been the same this year.

Recently, when you thought of the Tigers pitching staffs, the thought process always centered around Justin Verlander.

However, Verlander’s 2014 season has been atypical as he is 10-11 with a 4.76 ERA. The Tigers right-hander was recently diagnosed with inflammation in his right shoulder, although he is not expected to go on the Disabled List, instead it looks like the Tigers will just give him some rest and skip him once in the rotation.

Baseball Prospectus says there is a 65.9 percent chance the Tigers will make the playoffs – they are currently a half game back in the AL Central and a half game up in the AL Wild Card – but if they get there, how will they use Verlander?

The right-hander is 7-5 with a 3.28 ERA in 15 postseason starts, but will the Tigers treat him like the ace of their staff who has proven himself in October? Or, like a 31-year old with an ERA just a bit under 5.00?

It will be interesting to see how the rest of the season develops for Verlander and looking ahead it is also worth watching what the Tigers do as they owe Verlander $28 million a season for the next fie years.

The Royals:

Could this be the year?

The Kansas City Royals have not been in the postseason since 1985, but have won nine of their last 20 games and find themselves with a half game lead in the AL Central.

Baseball Prospectus gives the Royals a 58.8 chance at making the playoffs and while it would be cool to see the Royals win the division because a one-game playoff could not only present a one-and-done scenario, but it may also present a situation where they play on the road and the folks of Kansas City do not get to experience a home playoff game.

However, with the playoff drought creeping up on 30 years, anyway the Royals manage to wiggle into the playoffs would be a great story.

Kansas City is 18-8 since the All-Star break and although they may lack some postseason experience, it’s going to be fun to watch this team try to close out the AL Central.

2014 Trade Deadline Recap

Roughly a month ago the A’s and Cubs jumpstarted the trade season with a blockbuster deal that sent Jeff Samardzija and Jason Hammel to the A’s. About a week ago, the Red Sox traded Jake Peavy to the Giants.

The wheels were rolling and could tell it was going to be an exciting trade season, but nothing could have prepared everyone for all the excitement the July 31st deadline provided.

Here’s a quick recap on the days action:

The Athletics acquired Jon Lester, Jonny Gomes and cash from the Red Sox for Yoenis Cespedes. Then, the A’s traded Tommy Milone to the Twins in exchange for Sam Fuld.

The Cardinals acquired John Lackey from the Red Sox for Joey Kelly and Allen Craig.

The Brewers traded a pair of minor leaguers (outfielder Mitch Haniger and pitcher Anthony Banda) to the Diamondbacks for Gerardo Parra.

The Padres continued selling and traded Chris Denorfia to the Mariners for Abraham Almonte and minor league pitcher Stephen Kohlscheen.

A day after trading Justin Masterson to the Cardinals, the Indians traded Asdrubal Cabrera to the Nationals for Zach Walters.

The Red Sox traded Andrew Miller to the Orioles for minor league pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez.

Boston was very active at the deadline and concluded its day after trading Stephen Drew to the Yankees for Kelly Johnson.

In addition to Drew, the Yankees acquired Martin Prado. In order to get Prado, the Yankees sent Peter O’Brien and either cash or a player to be named later to the Diamondbacks.

The Braves acquired Emilio Bonifacio, James Russell and cash from the Cubs in exchange for minor league catcher Victor Caratini.

The Marlins sent outfielder Jake Marisnick to the Astros in return for Jarred Cosart and Kike Hernandez.

In perhaps the biggest blockbuster trade of the day, the Tigers acquired David Price, the Mariners picked up Austin Jackson and the Rays received Drew Smyly and Nick Franklin.

Today’s Trade Deadline was one of the most exciting in recent memory as there was not only a plethora of moves, but moves with very significant pieces.

At first glance, the Red Sox, A’s, Cardinals and Tigers appear to be the “Trade Deadline winners.” However, a lot will be determined by how teams fare in October.

When all is said and done and one team is hoisting the World Series Trophy in October, today will be a fun one to look back at.

Side note:

It is not a total shock, but it is a bit surprising that the Dodgers didn’t trade Matt Kemp or any of their outfielders.