Revisiting 2016 win/loss projections
Prior to the season I took a look at every team’s projected win total, along with the over/under. Now that the regular season has come to a close, it’s time to look back on these projections and see how I did.
If you followed my picks in the American League, congrats on your winnings. If you took my advice for National League teams, I apologize.
Overall I was 15-15.
In the AL I went 10-5 and in the NL I went 5-10.
| Team | 2015 win total | 2016 Over/Under
(Las Vegas Superbook) |
2016 FanGraphs win projections | Personal Prediction |
| Baltimore Orioles | 81 | 78.5 | 78 | Under |
| Boston Red Sox | 78 | 87.5 | 91 | Over |
| New York Yankees | 87 | 86.5 | 85 | Under |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 80 | 81.5 | 82 | Under |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 93 | 86.5 | 83 | Under |
| Chicago White Sox | 76 | 80.5 | 81 | Over |
| Cleveland Indians | 81 | 85.5 | 85 | Over |
| Detroit Tigers | 74 | 80.5 | 81 | Over |
| Kansas City Royals | 95 | 83.5 | 79 | Over |
| Minnesota Twins | 83 | 79.5 | 78 | Under |
| Houston Astros | 86 | 88.5 | 86 | Under |
| Los Angeles Angels | 85 | 81.5 | 81 | Under |
| Oakland A’s | 68 | 75.5 | 79 | Over |
| Seattle Mariners | 76 | 82.5 | 83 | Over |
| Texas Rangers | 88 | 83.5 | 81 | Over |
| Atlanta Braves | 67 | 67.5 | 68 | Over |
| Miami Marlins | 71 | 78.5 | 81 | Under |
| New York Mets | 90 | 89.5 | 85 | Over |
| Philadelphia Phillies | 63 | 64.5 | 66 | Over |
| Washington Nationals | 83 | 89.5 | 88 | Over |
| Chicago Cubs | 97 | 93.5 | 94 | Under |
| Cincinnati Reds | 64 | 69.5 | 73 | Under |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 68 | 69.5 | 69 | Under |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 98 | 86.5 | 84 | Over |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 100 | 87.5 | 84 | Over |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 79 | 81.5 | 79 | Over |
| Colorado Rockies | 68 | 71.5 | 74 | Under |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 92 | 89.5 | 91 | Over |
| San Diego Padres | 74 | 73.5 | 74 | Under |
| San Francisco Giants | 84 | 88.5 | 85 | Over |