Revisiting 2016 win/loss projections

Prior to the season I took a look at every team’s projected win total, along with the over/under. Now that the regular season has come to a close, it’s time to look back on these projections and see how I did.

If you followed my picks in the American League, congrats on your winnings. If you took my advice for National League teams, I apologize.

Overall I was 15-15.

In the AL I went 10-5 and in the NL I went 5-10.

Team 2015 win total 2016 Over/Under

(Las Vegas Superbook)

2016 FanGraphs win projections Personal Prediction
Baltimore Orioles 81 78.5 78 Under
Boston Red Sox 78 87.5 91 Over
New York Yankees 87 86.5 85 Under
Tampa Bay Rays 80 81.5 82 Under
Toronto Blue Jays 93 86.5 83 Under
Chicago White Sox 76 80.5 81 Over
Cleveland Indians 81 85.5 85 Over
Detroit Tigers 74 80.5 81 Over
Kansas City Royals 95 83.5 79 Over
Minnesota Twins 83 79.5 78 Under
Houston Astros 86 88.5 86 Under
Los Angeles Angels 85 81.5 81 Under
Oakland A’s 68 75.5 79 Over
Seattle Mariners 76 82.5 83 Over
Texas Rangers 88 83.5 81 Over
Atlanta Braves 67 67.5 68 Over
Miami Marlins 71 78.5 81 Under
New York Mets 90 89.5 85 Over
Philadelphia Phillies 63 64.5 66 Over
Washington Nationals 83 89.5 88 Over
Chicago Cubs 97 93.5 94 Under
Cincinnati Reds 64 69.5 73 Under
Milwaukee Brewers 68 69.5 69 Under
Pittsburgh Pirates 98 86.5 84 Over
St. Louis Cardinals 100 87.5 84 Over
Arizona Diamondbacks 79 81.5 79 Over
Colorado Rockies 68 71.5 74 Under
Los Angeles Dodgers 92 89.5 91 Over
San Diego Padres 74 73.5 74 Under
San Francisco Giants 84 88.5 85 Over

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