Team	2015 win total	2016 Over/Under (Las Vegas Superbook)	2016 FanGraphs win projections	Personal Prediction
Baltimore Orioles	81	78.5	78	Under
Boston Red Sox	78	87.5	91	Over
New York Yankees	87	86.5	85	Under
Tampa Bay Rays	80	81.5	82	Under
Toronto Blue Jays	93	86.5	83	Under
Chicago White Sox	76	80.5	81	Over
Cleveland Indians	81	85.5	85	Over
Detroit Tigers	74	80.5	81	Over
Kansas City Royals	95	83.5	79	Over
Minnesota Twins	83	79.5	78	Under
Houston Astros	86	88.5	86	Under
Los Angeles Angels	85	81.5	81	Under
Oakland A’s	68	75.5	79	Over
Seattle Mariners	76	82.5	83	Over
Texas Rangers	88	83.5	81	Over
Atlanta Braves	67	67.5	68	Over
Miami Marlins	71	78.5	81	Under
New York Mets	90	89.5	85	Over
Philadelphia Phillies	63	64.5	66	Over
Washington Nationals	83	89.5	88	Over
Chicago Cubs	97	93.5	94	Under
Cincinnati Reds	64	69.5	73	Under
Milwaukee Brewers	68	69.5	69	Under
Pittsburgh Pirates	98	86.5	84	Over
St. Louis Cardinals	100	87.5	84	Over
Arizona Diamondbacks	79	81.5	79	Over
Colorado Rockies	68	71.5	74	Under
Los Angeles Dodgers	92	89.5	91	Over
San Diego Padres	74	73.5	74	Under
San Francisco Giants	84	88.5	85	Over

Quick Thoughts:

• I’m taking 17 overs and 13 unders, which means absolutely nothing and will likely be wrong as there are so many variables that take place throughout the course of a season.
• FanGraphs is split down the middle and predicts 15 teams to go under and 15 to go over.
• After having three 90-win teams a season ago, the NL Central is only projected to have one team reach the 90-win mark this season – the Cubs. This doesn’t mean the division lacks talent, but last year was such an anomoly that a regression is almost guaranteed.
• Despite all the hype the D-backs generated over the offseason the NL West is expected to be a two-team race between the Dodgers and Giants. Both Las Vegas and FanGraphs expect the D-backs to finish third.
• The Red Sox are expected to take a big leap forward this season after adding David Price and Craig Kimbrel to the pitching staff. After winning 78 games last year, Boston is expected to win the AL East in 2016.